Biden leads Trump by 12 percentage points in Oregon
Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among Oregon voters in a DHM Research survey released Friday.
Perhaps significantly, Biden's 51% to 39% lead is almost exactly the same as Hillary Clinton's 50% to 39% victory over Trump in Oregon in 2016.
"As much as has changed, Oregon voters' presidential preferences seem immovable," said an analysis of the survey.
The survey released Sept. 11 also found that a majority of voters — 51% — have a negative impression of Oregon Gov. Kate Brown, compared to just 43% who view her positively. The analysis said Brown's negative rating has consistently grown from just 15% in April 2015 while her positive rating has remained the same.
Despite Brown's negative rating, the survey found voters largely approve of her response to the COVID-19 outbreak, especially compared to Trump. Seventy-nine percent approve of Brown's response while 89% disapprove of how Trump has handled it.
Despite approving of Brown's response, a majority of voters continue to be very worried about the spread of COVID-19 in their communities. In an April 2020 DHM Research survey, 70% said they were very or somewhat concerned. Today, that has only dropped three percentage points to 67%.
With the recent start of the school year, and nearly all students attending remotely, the survey also found that 57% of Oregon voters approve of the way their local school district has responded to COVID-19. The difference between parents and those without children is small and not statistically significant, but voters with kids at home are somewhat more likely to approve (63%) than those without children (54%).
One contradiction is the difference between what voters think about the state of the Oregon economy compared to their own finances. According to the survey, 77% of voters rate Oregon's current economic conditions as only fair (54%) or poor (24%), while just 21% think that economic conditions are good (19%) or excellent (2%). Moreover, voters are five times more likely to say that the state's economic conditions are getting worse (46%) than say they are getting better (9%).
On the other hand, Oregonians are feeling better about their personal finances than just about any time in the past decade. The percentage of people saying that they are very or somewhat worried peaked in 2012 at 69%. Now for the second time since June "only" 49% of Oregonians say they are very or somewhat worried, the survey found.
The online survey of 502 Oregon voters was conducted from Sept. 3 to 8 and took approximately 15 minutes to complete. DHM Research said the sample size is sufficient to assess Oregonians' opinions generally and to review findings by multiple subgroups.
You can find the results and more information here.
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