Sources: With such varying results, are election polls believable?
With less than a week before the Nov. 6 General Election, the polls are all over the map in some of the most important races.
Democratic Oregon Gov. Kate Brown is only ahead of Republican state Rep. Knute Buehler by 3.4 points on Real Clear Politics, a website that averages available polls. But the more liberal FiveThirtyEight website projects Brown to win by nearly 8 points. It also predicts Republican U.S. Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler to be re-elected to the 3rd Congressional District in Southwest Washington by 3.8 points.
But Democratic challenger Carolyn Long has released her own poll showing her ahead of Herrera Beutler by 2 points. Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics says Herrera Beutler is ahead by 7 points.
Locally, Multnomah County Commissioner Loretta Smith has released her own poll showing activist Jo Ann Hardesty only leading her by about 40 to 39 percent, with 22 percent undecided. Hardesty's campaign said the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day.
Portland Trump critics will be frustrated
Despite the intensely anti-Trump politics of the Portland region and much of the rest of the state, there is little chance the results of the Nov. 6 General Election will affect his presidency.
Neither of Oregon's two Democratic U.S. senators are up for re-election this year, the only incumbent Republican congressman — Greg Walden — is widely predicted to win re-election in the 2nd Oregon U.S. House District, and Republican state Rep. Knute Buehler can't be expected to have much of an impact on whether Trump is impeached if he somehow manages to defeat Democratic incumbent Kate Brown.
That's no guarantee there won't be local protests if Democrats fail to win either chamber of Congress in a little more than two weeks, however. Anti-Trump protesters rioted in the Pearl District after Trump won the 2016 presidential election even though Hillary Clinton carried Oregon by an even larger margin in the Portland area.
Portland home moving problem goes national
In its Oct. 28 issue, The New York Times highlighted the dilemma of many Portland homeowners who want to move but can't afford to stay in the city if they sell their homes.
In a story on homeowners not moving as often these days, the paper quoted Mary Botel, a 38-year-old Multnomah County employee, who bought a 750-foot bungalow for $100,000 when she was single. Today, she lives there with her husband and his teenage son, and finds the quarters are tight. But the family is afraid to sell it, given how much more homes cost these days.
"If we were to move today, even if we sold, our money wouldn't go very far," she told The Times. According to the story, apartments in the rental building next door cost about $1,400 a month, which is substantially more than the family's mortgage payments.