Reported new COVID-19 cases and deaths continued to fall two days after the Oregon Health Authority warned the virus is still spreading.
State health officials reported 220 new confirmed and presumptive cases on Oct. 18, bringing the state total to 39,532. The OHA reported 388 new cases Saturday and 418 new on Sunday.
The OHA reported no new deaths Sunday, leave the state's death toll at 620. The agency reported three new deaths Saturday and six new deaths Friday.
The decreases follow the Friday release by the OHA of three potential future scenarios for COVID-19, with two of them predicting increases in the rate of new infections:
• The first scenario is where transmission continues at its current level for the next several weeks and new infections and cases increase substantially. The model suggests new infections would increase to 2,200 from 1,300 and daily reported cases will increase to 570. Hospitalizations from COVID-19 would increase to 40 a day. The reproductive rate would remain at 1.15
• The next scenario assumes a 5-percentage point increase in transmission. Daily infections would increase to 3,400 and 740 daily reported cases. Hospitalizations would increase to 48 per day. The reproductive rate would be 1.30.
• The most optimistic scenario assumes a drop in transmission by 10 percentage points. That would result in 1,400 daily infections amounting to about 290 daily reported cases. Hospitalizations would drop to 20 per day. The reproduction rate would drop to 0.88.
The new cases reported Sunday are in the following counties: Benton (3), Clackamas (8), Columbia (4), Coos (4), Deschutes (6), Douglas (2), Jackson (21), Josephine (1), Klamath (2), Lane (33), Lincoln (1), Linn (7), Malheur (2), Marion (33), Morrow (1), Multnomah (58), Polk (2), Umatilla (3), Wallowa (1), Washington (22), and Yamhill (6).
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