The day after warning that COVID-19 has the potential to continue spreading, the Oregon Health Authority reported a drop in deaths and new cases on Saturday.
State health officals reported three new deaths on Oct. 17, increase the total to 620. Six new deaths were erported on Friday.
The OHA also reported 388 new confirmed and presumptive cases on Saturday, bringing the state total to 39,316. The number reported on Friday was 418.
Also on Friday the OHA presented three potential future scenarios for COVID-19, with two of them predicting increases in the rate of new infections:
• The first scenario is where transmission continues at its current level for the next several weeks and new infections and cases increase substantially. The model suggests new infections would increase to 2,200 from 1,300 and daily reported cases will increase to 570. Hospitalizations from COVID-19 would increase to 40 a day. The reproductive rate would remain at 1.15
• The next scenario assumes a 5-percentage point increase in transmission. Daily infections would increase to 3,400 and 740 daily reported cases. Hospitalizations would increase to 48 per day. The reproductive rate would be 1.30.
• The most optimistic scenario assumes a drop in transmission by 10 percentage points. That would result in 1,400 daily infections amounting to about 290 daily reported cases. Hospitalizations would drop to 20 per day. The reproduction rate would drop to 0.88.
New cases and deaths
The new cases reported Saturday are in the following counties: Baker (1), Benton (2), Clackamas (30), Columbia (4), Coos (5), Crook (5), Deschutes (13), Douglas (7), Jackson (24), Josephine (2), Klamath (1), Lane (48), Linn (8), Malheur (13), Marion (49), Morrow (1), Multnomah (95), Polk (8), Umatilla (13), Union (1), Wallowa (1), Wasco (1), Washington (50), and Yamhill (6).
Oregon's 618th COVID-19 death is an 83-year-old man in Multnomah County who tested positive on Oct. 3 and died Oct. 9 at Portland Adventist Medical Center. He had underlying conditions.
Oregon's 619th COVID-19 death is an 83-year-old woman in Wallowa County who tested positive on Sept. 14 and died Sept. 29 at her residence. She had underlying conditions.
Oregon's 620th COVID-19 death is a 92-year-old man in Marion County who tested positive on Oct. 3 and died Oct. 16 at his residence. He had underlying conditions.
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